Prognoza vremena

zupanja isto tako.....dobar pljusak je sastavio,kolko sam pratio bez leda je proslo....

Ma bilo milina za gledat kod nas, uopće nije jako padala nego polagano i to finih 45 minuta ako ne i više

Dobio sam dojavu između Gradišta i Županje uz jak pljusak ima i tuče:

po radaru izgleda ima tuče između Privlake i Otoka imali ko da potvrdi

jutros zgrnio djetelinu za večernje presanje...vidim oblači se , trk na njivu, da barem balirku isprobam, šlus, 15mm kiše...od sveg posla, pokoja psovka...

Paore za brzinsko presanje si ipak treba pozvati vaspitanog majstora jer u protivnom bude tako nekako kao kod tebe , ja sam odustao od diranja djeteline baz bog te kiše, pa ju budem idućih dana uroalo bez trke i buke (nadam se)

Naznake od četvrtka (30.06.) bi se približa istočna visinska ciklona te bi 4-5 dana kružila oko nas uz dosta promjenjivo vrijeme i za doba godine hladno. Maximalne od 18-23 C, jutarnje 5-8 C. Gorski Kotar samo +2 C što bi pri tlu moglo biti mraza.

JOš je predaleko za 2-3 dana će se znati detaljnije.

Ove temperature ko naručene za žetvu

ublažila se promijena, izgleda će biti kratkotrajno.

u srijedu posljepodne mogući su lokalni pljuskovi prije svega istok Slavonije a u četvrtak diljem unutrašnjosti.

coja kako bi moglo biti vrime ovi dana oko sl.broda

sutra posljepodne/navečer lokalno izraženiji pljuskovi s grmljavinom, ali opet će većina mjesta proči bez oborina.

preksutra još nestabilnije.

petak prohladno s obzirom na doba godine, vecinom bez oborina.

coja kakvu bu vrijeme u varaždinu bu kaj kiše?

Evo kod nas se naoblačilo i palo par kapi

I kod nas samo malo pišnila

evo kod nas se dobro ispadala

-coja pogodio si

danas kod nas bilo doista gadno ali bez leda (coja jel je pravilo da pada led ako je na zaslonu radara crveni oblak dhmz)jedva pobjegao sa polja.

delac je napisao/la:coja kakvu bu vrijeme u varaždinu bu kaj kiše?

DF 95 je napisao/la:danas kod nas bilo doista gadno ali bez leda (coja jel je pravilo da pada led ako je na zaslonu radara crveni oblak dhmz)jedva pobjegao sa polja.

Jesil mozda slikao oluju *?

Sve zavisi od uvjeta u atmosferi a i dosta je komplicirano za objasniti nabrzinu. Uglavnom kad je narančasto već postoji opasnost od tuče.

U večini slučajeva: (Napomena zimi primjerice iz 10-20 dBza zna padati umjeren/jak snijeg)
5-20 dbZa slabe oborine (kiša)
25-35 dbZa umjeren oborine (kiša)
40-50 dbZa jake oborine (kiša uz moguću sugradicu)
55-60 dbZa vrlo jake oborine (jak pljusak,moguča tuča)
>65 dBZa extremni intezitet oborine (prolom oblaka, moguči veliki komadi tuče)

Današnji radar kretanja oluja:


zoom:

Mi smo dobili par kapi...

Nisam slikao oblake bilo je bježanja sa polja ali razvoj oblaka točno u 16:00 ona crvena točka(prošlo je mađarsku granicu) nekako se nalazila iznad nas ali nije bilo leda(hvala bogu)

Za danas kompletna Slavonija i Baranja ima dobre uvijete da dobije jaču kišu, lokalno i nevrijeme

Upozorenja CM:
http://crometeo.net/site/

a kud bas baranja, juce je bilo vise oblaka nego danas, valjda nece padat jos 3-4 dana da se zavrsi zetva

Estofex crta 1 za naše područje:


Storm Forecast
Valid: Thu 30 Jun 2011 06:00 to Fri 01 Jul 2011 06:00 UTC
Issued: Wed 29 Jun 2011 22:00
Forecaster: GATZEN

A level 2 was issued for south-western Russia and north-eastern Ukraine mainly for excessive precipitation and tornadoes.

A level 1 was issued for western Russia, Belarus, the Baltic States and southern Finland mainly for excessive rain and tornadoes.

A level 1 was issued for Southern Poland to the northern Balkans mainly for large hail.

A level 1 was issued for Italy and the southern Balkans mainly for large hail.

A level 1 was issued for eastern Spain mainly for large hail and excessive precipitation.

SYNOPSIS

Low geopotential extends from the North Sea to the Black Sea. A north-westerly jet affects most of the Mediterranean. Over north-eastern Europe, a high is present.

DISCUSSION

South-western Russia, north-eastern Ukraine, eastern Belarus to the Baltic States

A strong easterly flow evolves between the high over the northern parts of Europe and the trough centred over the western Ukraine. Warm air advection sets in from the east and a strong low-level jet is expected to develop that will probably reach 25 m/s at 850 hPa. In the warm air advection regime, a convergence zone is expected over the northern Ukraine between rather warm air masses over Russia and cooler air over the Ukraine that extends north-eastward across Belarus to the Baltic States. Moisture pooling is forecast along this convergence zone and the low-level mixing ratio is expected to be 11-13 g/kg in the lowest kilometre. Additionally, reasonable steep lapse rates are expected to spread westward and will overlap with the rich moisture. Daytime heating is expected to result in CAPE values reaching 1000 J/kg.

The strong convergence assists for storms through-out the period that are expected to merge into MCSs that move north-westward. Excessive precipitation is forecast with these storms given the humid air and the continuous forcing as the storms move almost parallel along the convergence line.

Tornadoes are forecast to be another main threat. Through-out the period, strong low-level vertical wind shear will overlap with the instability over a broad area especially over south-western Russia. 0-1km bulk shear is forecast in the 15-20 m/s range with 200 m²/s² SRH by latest GFS in the evening hours. Especially isolated storms are forecast to become well-organized and tornadoes are expected that may be strong. Farther west, the tornado potential decreases due to weaker low-level vertical wind shear.

Besides the rain and tornado risk, large hail and severe wind gusts are not ruled out, especially in the northern and eastern portions of the risk area, where the boundary-layer is expected to be better mixed and storms will be more isolated. Later in the period, severe wind gusts are expected along the gust fronts of MCSs that propagate north-westwards into Belarus and north-western Ukraine. Excessive precipitation and tornadoes may occur through-out the night hours.

Southern Poland to the northern Balkans

The trough over the North Sea moves south-eastward and merges to the eastern trough later on. At lower levels, the cold air mass over Germany will accelerate at the eastern flank of a low centred over Romania. On Thursday, the cold air mass will be located to the west of a convergence line from central Poland to Hungary and will advect rapidly south-eastward. Current thinking is that the low-level cold air advection will limit the thunderstorm potential. The best chances for stronger storms are forecast from southern Austria to Serbia ahead of the cold air as well as near the convergence from central Poland to Hungary.

Given weak winds at mid-levels, storms will likely be slow-moving and may cluster. Locally large hail and excessive precipitation is not ruled out. Later in the period, strong north-westerly winds are forecast to develop especially in the cold air behind the main cold front that spreads into the northern Balkans. Near the convergence line to the east, some instability may overlap with the strong north-westerly flow at 850 hPa, and a tornado is not ruled out. Current indications do not prefer such a scenario, though.

Eastern Spain

At the southern periphery of the North Sea trough, a north-westerly jet streak will travel across Iberia. Daytime heating over the central regions is expected to result in steep lapse rates that will spread eastwards. Along the coasts, moist low-level air of the Mediterranean Sea is forecast to spread westwards given a thermal low over Iberia. Upslope flow and low-level convergence are forecast to overlap with the steep lapse rates and favourably vertical wind shear. Supercells are forecast capable of producing large hail and locally excessive precipitation. Isolated severe wind gusts are not ruled out. Storms are forecast to decay in the evening hours.

Italy to southern Balkans

A rather strong north-westerly mid-level flow is expected, and deep layer vertical wind shear will be around 15 m/s. The affected air mass is unstable given rather rich low-level moisture and steep mid-level lapse rates. Storms are expected to develop during the day and may become supercells, capable of producing large hail and severe wind gusts. Storms are forecast to decay during the night hours.

Northern Sweden and surroundings

At the western flank of the high pressure area, a warm air mass experiences upslope flow along the Scandinavian mountains. Current indications are that some low-level moisture and diurnal heating will result in weak instability. Thunderstorms are forecast to develop at the noon hours. Given a strong southerly mid-level jet, these storms will move quite rapidly northward and may organize. Locally large hail and severe wind gusts are forecast, but the threat seems to be too marginal for a risk level at this time.

Kod nas se nešto sprema nadam se da neće biti loše.

Što su rekli sutra za Gorski Kotar pada pomalo kiša a ja trebo u šumu majku joj...

sad ozbiljno ja pratim prognoze ali me ždere vrjeme za subotu kaže promjenjivo , a ja bi trebao krov otkrivat na kući , jel ima koja preciznija prognoza , neznam dali da otkažem radnu akciju ili ne??'